（通讯员：杨莹莹 审核人：齐航）近日，我院副院长陶珍生教授以通讯作者身份与其合作者的论文《Novel synergy scheduling in urban complementary systems coupled with profit-driven carbon and green certificate financial trading for near-zero emission goals》在中科院一区Top期刊《Expert Systems with Applications》发表。
摘要：The transition to sustainable cities with near-zero emissions demands innovative approaches that balance environmental goals with economic feasibility. This study explores the integration of Carbon Emission Trading (CET) and Green Certificate Trading (GCT) mechanisms within multi-energy complementary systems, highlighting their synergy in achieving decarbonization while ensuring cost efficiency. Addressing key gaps in the existing literature, this research introduces a novel, profit-driven financial framework that aligns economic and environmental objectives for a more comprehensive approach to urban energy optimization. A pioneering trading mechanism is proposed, enabling the conversion of green certificates into Carbon Emission Rights (CERs), thus linking the CET and GCT markets. This tiered pricing model encourages renewable energy use and penalizes carbon emissions, fostering a dual regulatory system that enhances overall performance. The study utilizes a mathematical optimization model, validated by case studies, to simulate four scenarios: exclusive GCT participation, exclusive CET participation, independent CET-GCT operations, and a fully integrated CET-GCT system. Key findings reveal that Scenario 4, under the integrated mechanism, achieves 100% renewable energy utilization, reduces excess carbon emissions by 9,258 tons, and minimizes total system costs to $3,394,152.71. This represents a cost reduction of $85,928.90 compared to Scenario 3 and $36,061.91 compared to Scenario 2, emphasizing the economic advantages of integrating market mechanisms. Sensitivity analysis shows that increasing CET prices lead to a linear cost rise in Scenario 3, while Scenario 4 limits this impact, with costs rising only marginally by $18,370.57 as CET prices increase from $8.56 to $14.08. Similarly, rising GCT prices reduce costs by $25,423.03 in Scenario 3, but Scenario 4 experiences an initial cost rise of $2,203.19, followed by a significant reduction of $22,374.74 when GCT prices exceed $2.76. These findings demonstrate the robustness and flexibility of the integrated CET-GCT system in stabilizing costs under fluctuating market conditions. The proposed framework significantly advances urban energy management and carbon trading, offering a scalable model for policy development and market integration.